Researchers at Tufts University analyzed every occupation in the United States for AI displacement risk. The results are not evenly distributed — some jobs face 50%+ displacement within five years, others face less than 1%. This atlas shows the full landscape. The calculator tells you where you stand.
Percentage of workers in each US industry projected to face AI displacement within 2–5 years.
Vulnerability percentages from Tufts University Digital Planet American AI Jobs Risk Index (Mar 2026), combining theoretical AI exposure (Eloundou et al. 2023) with real-world AI usage data from the Anthropic Economic Index and Microsoft Copilot study (Tomlinson et al. 2025). State percentages reflect industry composition. Trajectory curves are logistic adoption models calibrated to McKinsey's 2030–2060 half-saturation band. Scenarios, not forecasts.
It depends on your occupation. Tufts University research found that 9.3 million US jobs face significant displacement risk within 2–5 years, while others face less than 1%. Jobs with high routine cognitive tasks — data entry, paralegal work, bookkeeping, customer service — face the most exposure. Use the free calculator above to find your specific score.
The most at-risk occupations include Data Entry Clerks, Telemarketers, Bookkeeping Clerks, Paralegals, Customer Service Representatives, and Loan Officers. These roles have high exposure because most of their core tasks can be automated by current AI systems.
Jobs least at risk include Plumbers, Electricians, Construction Workers, Surgeons, Mental Health Counselors, and Elementary School Teachers. These require physical presence, fine motor skills, complex judgment, or interpersonal trust that current AI cannot replicate.
Displacement is already underway in some sectors. High-exposure occupations will see 20–50% role restructuring between 2026 and 2031, with a half-saturation point around 2028–2030. The free calculator shows a year-by-year 5-year trajectory for your specific role.
Early action dramatically improves outcomes. The $9 full report includes a personalized 90-day pivot plan, the three safest adjacent roles given your current skills, the specific tasks AI is replacing first, and recommended courses ranked by ROI.